If you need assistance, please call 916-529-5342

How to Judge the Impact of the Next Economic Slowdown on Housing

Wednesday, August 7, 2019   /   by Jessa Mae

How to Judge the Impact of the Next Economic Slowdown on Housing

How to Judge the Impact of the Next Economic Slowdown on Housing


How to Judge the Impact of the Next Economic Slowdown on Housing | MyKCM



We’ve experienced economic growth for almost a decade, which is the longest recovery in the nation’s history. Experts know a recession can’t be too far off, but when will this economic slowdown actually occur?


Pulsenomics just released a special report revealing that nearly 6 out of 10 of the 90 economists, investment strategists, and market analysts surveyed believe the next recession will occur by the end of next year. Here’s the breakdown:



    • 9% believe a recession will occur this year

    • 50% believe it will occur in 2020

    • 35% believe it will occur in 2021

    • 6% believe it will occur after 2021


When asked what would trigger the next recession, the three most common responses by those surveyed were:



    1. Trade Policy

    1. Stock Market Correction

    1. Geopolitical Crisis


How might the recession impact real estate?


Challenges in the housing and mortgage markets were major triggers of the last recession. However, a housing slowdown ranked #9 on the list of potential triggers for the next recession, behind such possibilities as fiscal policy and political gridlock.


As far as the impact the recession may have on home values, the experts surveyed indicated home prices would continue to appreciate over the next few years. They called for a 4.1% appreciation rate this year, 2.8% in 2020, and 2.5% in 2021.


Bottom Line


On the same day, in the same survey, the same experts who forecasted a recession happening within the next 18 months also claimed housing will not be the trigger, and home values will still continue to appreciate.

-- Thomas March Home Selling Group --- Proudly with Keller Williams Realty
Thomas March
548 Gibson Drive, Suite 200
Roseville, CA 95678
916-529-5342
DRE# 01427654

metrolist logo.png The real estate listing data marked with this icon comes from the IDX program of the Sacramento Metrolist Multiple Listing Serviceā„¢ system. Information deemed reliable, but not verified or guaranteed. Users are responsible for checking the accuracy, completeness, currency, and status of all information. All measurements and all calculations of area (i.e., Sq Ft and Acreage) are approximate. Broker has represented to MetroList that Broker has a valid listing signed by seller authorizing placement in the MLS. Above information is provided by Seller and/or other sources and has not been verified by Broker. Some properties that appear for sale on this web site may subsequently have been sold and may no longer be available. Copyright 2020 MetroList Services, Inc.
Terms and Conditions

Powered by metrolist logo.png
This site powered by CINC: www.cincpro.com